I' am of course on it, So I'm biased . A lot of area's have a claim as to being a dangerous fault , but at Least in North America new Madrid has the potential and the history of totally deranging the area. The reason it is feared is that unlike other faults it sits in the middle of a continent. Both sides of the fault are extremely heavy so when it shakes , historically every 2 to 3 hundred years it can pretty much shake the entire continent. The last time which was the only time for us as Americans they said the second of three set off church bells in Philadelphia. I go down to the area we call the boot heel and you can see clear evidence of liquefaction. In many places rocks and soil turned to jelly. It actually shakes the rocks apart. I'm not going to go in to all the humans that are involved but between Memphis and Saint Louis alone there are two million people.
Heres some info I found on the Fault.
The New Madrid Seismic Zone is an indistinctly circumscribed region in the central United States distinguished from adjacent parts by its geologic instability manifested by earthquakes. This curious zone is also called the New Madrid Fault Zone, the New Madrid Fault Line, the New Madrid Rift Zone, the New Madrid Rift Complex, the Reelfoot Rift, and the Reelfoot Complex, among other appellations. The New Madrid Seismic Zone is an intraplate seismic zone--smack dab in the center of the North American Plate—as opposed to the more familiar interplate seismic zones, such as California’s San Andreas Fault Zone, which mark transform boundaries between tectonic plates.
Various reasons including reading the fearbots have got me thinking on a quake along the New Madrid from here on out called the reelfoot in honor of the Chickasaw chief of legend. If you get a little time you should read it To Cliff note it every body in his tribe is drowned in a lake created by the river during an earthquake after he disobeys the great spirit (Its a Woman of course).
I can't blame them because I was already thinking about it for various and somewhat similar reasons. First is a major quake on the reelfoot is a certainty sometime. I read a few government quotes on earthquake probabilities and they made the area seem kind of tame.
as a side link there was an article titled is the new Madrid dying? I noticed that the article said that over half the homes even around the bootheel area didn't carry earthquake insurance. I'm sure this is two fold, in the economic times people have better ways to spend the dough for rising insurance costs. Plus the years tend to fade old fears.
I personally have known it was there since grade school. It being this super big earthquake. Or it being a tornado , or it being a nuclear bomb, back then it was simple though, all the plans were pretty simple for all of it , put your head under your desk. They really made desks tough back then.
For now I'm going under my desk over earth quaking. Many times I have used information that I learned in "The Gift of Fear" so I think a key thing is controlling fear. Like now it is almost embarrassing and forget almost the way I'm worked up over this.
Maybe long ago I should of stated things that due to recent events, I am tense about the faultline. My mind has put together strands of information, some highly influenced. My Spidey sense has been tingling since I read about the January 4th eclipse and how webbot was picking a major earthquake five days either side of that. Due to the full moon eclipse which they called . I believe this was back in November , and I think it was Japan who knows because in the last year I had seen on my disaster map http://hisz.rsoe.hu/alertmap/index2.php hundreds of earth quakes over 5 . A for instance is the seismometer map http://www.iris.edu/seismon/ gives out a list of quakes over 4m .but by the time you could finish the list a couple more have happened.
If you have never seen those sites you'll be amazed at how many earth quakes are going on. Not that their aren't enough other problems to worry about as you can tell on the rsoe map. Because of all the activity worldwide I have tried to look for patterns or even causes. Patterns would help maybe to figure out a cause.
It boggles the mind so I Put it to google and through my search I found articles from the experts saying that there is no method and if somebody say's they have one they are lying . In fact that was the title to the article. I even looked up the name sake of the next article "Why no expert would predict earthquakes". it said see Eben Browning.
I don't think we would be talking New Madrid now if it wasn't for Eben then. I know the story but this is how it plays out in history. Browning a very strange person . in his bio on wiki it says he was like a climatologist from some community college. Well the story says he was a huckster (thats how they talked back in the 90's) who predicted a major quake was going to happen in early December 1990. Since it didn't happen it was assumed by a very angry press , because they had to go to Missouri and in December, that Browning had conned us yocal's of Missouri, and somehow got rich off it.
First off I went to work that day just like usual, and we laughed as the day got over. But never before or after have so many people around here made so many preparations just in case. Even today many building codes in the city are supposedly designed with him in mind.
I think most people said just because it didn't happen then , don't mean it couldn't happen anytime. I'm sure it will be chaos but I think overall we could survive it. We may have been stupid enough to prepare our homes for earthquakes and stock some water , a little food for three days , but we didn't drive all the way to New Madrid in case it did happen. it was a fifty fifty chance and either way I think it would be kind of stupid to go there. I wonder how many of the news people realized how lucky they were he was wrong. A lot of people might survive a quake here because of Eben Browning.
But you know that was pretty much the end of quake predicting until The tipping Points memo , which anybody who read it would have to say that the time frame he predicted has been bizarre to say the least. In semi fact one of the reasons I looked up Browning was to see what theory he used to come up with his prediction,
Despite Browning's statistical barrage to back up his claim, based on influence of celestial bodies, planetary alignments and gravitational pulls, scientists in droves sought to debunk Browning's theory of eminent disaster. I got that from his obituary, it also says he did predict a quake in California. He died the next year. But his technique sounds a lot like webbots , hmmm.

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